Rare Earths Rally Sparks Strategic Supply Chain Shift

U.S.-listed rare-earths miners have surged this year as global competition for critical minerals intensifies.
Shares of Critical Metals rose about 241% over three months, while NioCorp Developments, Energy Fuels and Idaho Strategic Resources all climbed well over 100%; Energy Fuels’ stock has roughly quadrupled year-to-date and NioCorp’s has nearly quintupled.
Rare earths — 17 elements with distinctive magnetic properties — are essential to smartphones, electric vehicles, renewable energy technologies and defense systems. China remains the low-cost dominant supplier and threatened expanded export controls, but a one-year delay after an in-person U.S.-China meeting eased immediate market fears and sparked a rally.
Industry executives and technical consultants characterize the move as the start of a potential boom or longer supercycle driven by underinvestment, AI and the clean-energy transition, while cautioning about volatility and speculative excess. One CEO warned many junior miners may fail without the right deposits, partners and financing.
Analysts highlight a policy shift toward onshoring supply — “mine the gap” rather than “fill the gap” through imports — noting that building domestic or regional rare-earth capacity will be lengthy, expensive and technically complex, likely lifting prices and investment but leaving significant execution risk.