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Australia Eyes Rare-Earth Market Opportunity

10/17/2025, 7:03:40 PM | China | United States | Australia

Military & Defense

China’s new rare-earth export controls have accelerated Australian efforts to expand mining and processing for allied supply chains.

China has tightened export controls on 12 of the 17 rare-earth elements, citing national security and requiring special approvals for purchases of magnets and certain semiconductor materials containing at least 0.1% heavy rare-earths, with many measures taking effect December 1.

Beijing currently accounts for about 70% of global rare-earth mining and roughly 90% of processing, giving it leverage over supply chains for defence, semiconductors and AI hardware. That shift has prompted Canberra to position Australia as an alternative supplier and processor.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers said Australia is “well placed” to meet allied demand, and Canberra has pledged a A$1.2 billion critical-minerals reserve to build processing capacity. Australia hosts important deposits — including neodymium used in high-performance magnets — though its reserves are an estimated one-seventh the size of China’s per the US Geological Survey.

Private and public moves are already underway: Lynas Rare Earths partnered with US firm Noveon Magnetics to supply magnets for defence customers, boosting investor interest. Washington has likewise sought diversified suppliers through deals in Ukraine, the Democratic Republic of Congo and Pakistan, and has signalled trade and tariff responses to Beijing’s restrictions.

Analysts say scaling processing and R&D will be essential if alternatives to China are to become reliable long-term sources for critical technologies.

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